Predicting elections…
Thursday, 23rd March 2023

‘It is incorrect to link BBC news to the defeat of Jeremy Corbyn MP as a would-be prime minister’
• IT’S irrational to refer to Britain as a one-party state, (The BBC and our one-party state, March 16).
It is doubly incorrect to link BBC news to the defeat of Jeremy Corbyn MP as a would-be prime minister. He was simply not well equipped to be holding the high office.
Like Neil Kinnock who lost the 1987 and again the 1992 elections (a pupil of Michael Foot who lost the 1983 election) so Corbyn was a man who entered the Commons exceptionally young and remained very left-wing, defying his own party 400 times. He was also a closet Brexiteer.
I had predicted in a leading Wales newspaper in 1988 that Kinnock could not win an election as he was too left-wing.
I also knew Corbyn was not going to win while voting for Labour as a London voter and as a pro-European Union supporter and because Tulip Siddiq was my outstanding pro EU MP.
I now predict again Labour cannot win a general election while still harnessed to left-wing Brexit-supporting trade unions.
The south of England holds the most votes and any discontent will channel to pro EU parties, as in Scotland. Wales remains Labour but is non-essential and Wales has never been a state.
A Conservative win in England, even marginal, with a Labour win in Wales brings more problems for Wales than it does for England. The price of Brexit there is enormous.
The price to London is also severe as financial trade moves to other key EU cities and banks enter a period of anxiety necessitating mergers to survive.
GARY J SMITH, NW2